1

Bennys Jets

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 60

Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 19/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 5f Fas 120 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 79 par19/09C8OR 79C8 @ Woodbine 11/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fas 121 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 75 parC8 @ Woodbine 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 5f Fas 121 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 70 par2/11C8OR 70C8 @ Woodbine 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 5f 121 · beat its mark22/11/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Woodbine 14/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 85 · 6f 119 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 85 par14/12C8OR 85C8 @ Woodbine 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 65 parC7 @ Woodbine 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 65 par24/05C7OR 65C8 @ Woodbine 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 59 parC7 @ Fort Erie 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 66 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 66 par6/07C7OR 66projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Fort Erie?7th6th+1
2026-06-12Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-05-24Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-04-26Woodbine?7th7th0
2025-12-14Woodbine?9th9th0
2025-11-22Woodbine?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0922/1124/056/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength7%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20252nd8/158%80%+0.22
11/10/20257th4/179%0%-0.79
02/11/20252nd10/147%86%+0.38
22/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
14/12/20259th20/10%0%0.00
26/04/20267th7/163%0%-0.63
24/05/20266th25/10%0%0.00
12/06/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
06/07/20267th12/137%0%-0.37