Golden Test
4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 70
Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-12-16 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 01/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 20/10/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 16/12/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |