Mia And Me
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |