Sea To Air
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-08-26 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-05 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 15/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/06/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |