Forest Buzz
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85
Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-26 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 30/11/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/12/2024 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 29/06/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 25/07/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 26/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |