1

Globetrotting

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 71

Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength84%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 28/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 73 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 73 par28/09C8OR 73C8 @ Woodbine 13/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 75 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 25/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 71 par25/11C5OR 71C5 @ Mahoning Valley 12/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 70 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 70 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 67 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 67 par6/03C5OR 67C5 @ Mahoning Valley 24/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 69 · 1m Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/03/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 76 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 76 par6/06C8OR 76C7 @ Fort Erie 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 75 · 7f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 74 par12/07C5OR 74projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Fort Erie?1st-2th+3
2026-06-21Fort Erie?7th6th+1
2026-06-06Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-03-24Mahoning Valley?4th1st+3
2026-03-06Mahoning Valley?1st-2th+3
2026-01-12Mahoning Valley?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0912/016/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength48%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20257th10/147%25%-0.22
13/10/20256th9/276%29%-0.48
25/11/20252nd15/261%83%+0.23
12/01/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
06/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
24/03/20264th5/287%0%-0.87
06/06/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
21/06/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
12/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21