Wet And Wild
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 72
Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |