3
Doadster
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-10-31 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-10-23 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-10-03 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |