1

Jagr Dude

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 69

Fort Erie · Race 5 - Allowance · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Fort Erie 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Slo 12021/07C9
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Fort Erie?1st5th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18