1

Get Out The Vote

6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 65

Fort Erie · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 22/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 71 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 71 par22/08C8OR 71C8 @ Woodbine 04/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Woodbine 26/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 74 par26/09C8OR 74C8 @ Woodbine 17/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 70 parC8 @ Woodbine 27/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 72 par27/11C8OR 72C8 @ Fort Erie 31/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 64 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 64 parC5 @ Fort Erie 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 69 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 69 par21/06C5OR 69C8 @ Fort Erie 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Fort Erie 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 6f110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 71 par21/07C5OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Fort Erie?6th4th+2
2026-06-29Fort Erie?3rd4th1
2026-06-21Fort Erie?5th3rd+2
2026-05-31Fort Erie?1st2nd1
2025-11-27Woodbine?5th6th1
2025-10-17Woodbine?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0817/1021/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20254th14/126%73%+0.46
04/09/20252nd3/184%86%+0.02
26/09/20256th7/282%38%-0.44
17/10/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
27/11/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
31/05/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
21/06/20265th13/266%0%-0.66
29/06/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
21/07/20266th16/116%0%-0.16