4
Legs Like Flatter
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 73
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |