8
Ala Turka
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 68
Fort Erie · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 23/10/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 23/12/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 10% | -0.69 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |