6
Alta Calibre
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 64
Fort Erie · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |