3
Domer Allure
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 53
Fort Erie · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 01/12/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/01/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 16/02/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 26/03/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 04/10/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |