7
Golden Spring
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 54
Fort Erie · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2024 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 23/09/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 14/10/2024 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 26/04/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 12/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |