13:55 · Galway

Kinlay Hostel Handicap Chase

2m 6f 111yGood (Good to yielding in places)4YO plusTURFHandicap18 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 11315/2
Soldante silks

P McCormack & David P McCormack & Sarah Glynn

Soldante

★★★

8yo Gelding · 12-1

Soldier Of Fortune - Dantes Firth (Flemensfirth)

Eoghan Finegan60%0/2−5lbCiaran Murphy
643313
7.0Going 8.0

Won over fences at Roscommon by 5 lengths from Party President in June. 15/2, very good third of 20 in handicap hurdle at this course (17f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Reverts back to chasing after an 8 lb rise for Roscommon.

Class Advantage

19/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/01 · mark par19/0126/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par7/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par8/06 · C11 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par27/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 2m 6f 111y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 38%19/01Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%19/04Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%27/07
Projected finish1st of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
2
OR 1059/2
Le Grand Vert silks

All Play & No Work Syndicate

Le Grand Vert

★★★

10yo Gelding · 11-7

Great Pretender - Eliga (Turgeon)

Mr O McGill60%2/7−5lbN C Kelly70%
4P412P
7.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Scored at Ayr in February and then at Punchestown in June. Ran another cracker when second at Cartmel just under 3 weeks later. Shaped as if amiss back hurdling at Sligo when last seen. May do better back over fences.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1210/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par10/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par6/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 100%Dist: 2m 6f 111y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%26/12Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%10/03Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%26/06
Projected finish2nd of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
16
Market Fav4
OR 10011/8
Saunton Surf silks

GeeGees Syndicate

Saunton Surf

★★★

7yo Mare · 11-2

Sea Moon - Carrigmoorna Fame (Fame And Glory)

Mr D McGill−7lbGary McGill60%
9P5521
7.0
Cheek pieces

Maiden hurdler but has taken well to chasing, runner-up at Downpatrick on debut over fences in May before landing a 3m beginners chase there the following month. Has each-way claims with the cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par6/0313/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par17/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par29/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par22/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par13/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%6/03Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%17/03Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 92%22/05Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%13/06
Projected finish3rd of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
3
OR 1059/1
Inchidaly Copper silks

Owen M O'Flynn

Inchidaly Copper

★★★

10yo Gelding · 11-7

Doyen - Arctic Aunt (Anshan)

Luke Burke Ott3/10−7lbA Ott60%
613383
6.0
Blinkers

Fair chaser. Has some creditable efforts to his name over hurdles since last run over fences, winning at Killarney in October. Stepped up on reappearance when third of 14 in handicap hurdle at that course (2½m, good to soft) 17 days ago. Back chasing with the blinkers refitted.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/085/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par18/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par2/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par2/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par16/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 62%25/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 87%18/10Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%2/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 85%16/07
Projected finish4th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 11211/4
Journey So Far silks

John P McManus

Journey So Far

★★★★

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Jet Away - Smiths Lady (Anshan)

Keith Donoghue1/5G P Cromwell60%
F07861
5.0
Hood

Low-mileage 6-y-o who switched to a powerful owner prior to opening his account in 10-runner beginners chase at Tramore (2¾m, good, 11/4) in May by 13 lengths from A Snow White Park, unchallenged. Has to be taken seriously back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

16/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par16/1129/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par13/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par29/05 · C11 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 65%16/11Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 7 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 50%13/12Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%13/05Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%29/05
Projected finish5th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
14
5
OR 1025/2
Jukebox Johnny silks

Anthony N Durkan & B M Durkan

Jukebox Johnny

★★★★★

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Jukebox Jury - Belle Fortune (Shantou)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%0/3H De Bromhead80%
945P72
5.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Maiden hurdler who took well to fences when second of 11 in handicap at Limerick (23f, good) on chasing debut in May. Has to enter calculations on the back of that.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/1123/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/12 · C11 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par1/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par21/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par21/05projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 32%8/11Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 87%7/12Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%12/04Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 90%21/05
Projected finish6th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
9
OR 1075/1
Golden Temple silks

Spice Of Life Partnership

Golden Temple

★★★★

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Galileo Gold - Miss Sally (Danetime)

Sam Ewing60%2/6N Meade60%
696412
8.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Ended lengthy losing run in handicap chase at Kilbeggan in July. Backed that up when second in handicap hurdle at this course (2¾m, good to soft) 4 days ago. Can go well again back over fences.

Class Advantage

28/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par28/1119/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par21/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par12/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par29/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%28/11Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%21/05Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 94%29/07
Projected finish7th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
17
8
OR 10011/2
Smallcraftwarning silks

We Win Farming Syndicate

Smallcraftwarning

★★★

9yo Gelding · 11-2

Gale Force Ten - Scrumptious (Sakhee)

Bryan Carver60%J P Ryan
838204
5.0
Tongue strap

Fourteen runs since last win in 2025. Made the frame twice from last 4 starts over hurdles, latest when fourth of 10 in handicap at Killarney (2½m, good to soft) 17 days ago. Back chasing and can go well again.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/0521/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par9/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par2/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par12/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par16/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 83%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 30%9/05Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 53%9/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%12/07Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%16/07
Projected finish8th of 18
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 109100/1
Lawful Ruler silks

James Joseph Stafford

Lawful Ruler

7yo Gelding · 11-11

Rule Of Law - Never Been Wrong (Robin Des Champs)

Mr T J Stafford60%1/3−7lbP Stafford
62317P
5.0

Won 3m Cork maiden hunter in April, showing a willing attitude (may not have collected had the favourite avoided error). 100/1, pulled up in novice chase at Wexford (19f, good to soft) in June. Questions to answer on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/036/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0420/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 75%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%29/03Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%6/04Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%20/04
Projected finish9th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
12
OR 1129/4
Ira Hayes silks

Ira Hayes Partnership

Ira Hayes

★★

7yo Gelding · 12-0

Mahler - Dangan Dawn (Presenting)

Michael Kenneally60%−5lbJ C McConnell60%
430125
5.0
Visor

Most fortunate to come out on top in 12-runner beginners chase at Tramore (2¾m) in April, held when left in front 2 out. Tailed off at Perth at the beginning of June and others more persuasive

Class Advantage

6/11 · C11 · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par6/1129/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par2/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par20/04 · C11 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par8/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/06projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%6/11Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 17%2/03Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%8/05Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%7/06
Projected finish10th of 18
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
18
16
OR 8712/1
Mistyburn silks

Nice Little Earner Syndicate

Mistyburn

★★

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Policy Maker - Queen Althea (Bach)

Simon Torrens60%P J Rothwell70%
P73166
4.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Landed 16-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan in April, albeit looking a fortunate winner (left in front last). Failed to translate that form back over fences next time and was again a shade below his best reverted to hurdling at Roscommon at the beginning of July. This is tougher.

Class Advantage

20/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/1214/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par6/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%20/12Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%19/03Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%6/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%6/07
Projected finish11th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
10
OR 10818/1
Sammy Smart silks

MJD Partnership

Sammy Smart

★★★

10yo Gelding · 11-10

Kalanisi - Fancy Fisher (Clerkenwell)

James Smith60%1/4−5lbT Gibney
6438UP
4.0

Took quite well to chasing last season, winning handicap at Punchestown. Shaped a bit better than being pulled up suggests at Wexford in June with tack issue. Isn't the most fluent of chasers but interesting to see if he can step up on that effort.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/1131/12 · C11 · finish vs mark above31/12 · mark par31/01 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par21/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par19/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par25/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/05projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 50%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 93%27/11Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 17%31/01Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 82%19/04Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 42%25/05
Projected finish12th of 18
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
13
13
OR 10325/1
Riggs silks

Paul M Butler & James Patrick Byrne

Riggs

★★

11yo Gelding · 11-5

Mahler - Cousin Kizzy (Toulon)

Liam McKenna60%0/1P Cluskey60%
268P8P
2.0
Blinkers

Won back-to-back chases in May 2025. Pulled up in handicap at Wexford (23f, good to soft) 33 days ago. Doesn't look the most reliable at present and the blinkers go back on.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/0623/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par9/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par29/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par2/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%7/06Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%9/08Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 19 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%2/05Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 46%15/06
Projected finish13th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
15
14
OR 10011/1
Gorthill silks

Miss Maeve Carlin

Gorthill

10yo Gelding · 11-2

Rail Link - Reflexion (Discover D'auteuil)

Mr S Connor−7lbStephen Carlin
6UP5P5
3.0
Tongue strap

Hunter chase winner who has run well under Rules on occasion. 11/1, first run since leaving Mrs Caroline McCaldin when fifth of 8 in similar event at Downpatrick (29f, good to soft) in May. This looks a difficult ask back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/0624/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par22/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/05projClass-projected finish: 17th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 83%Dist: 2m 6f 111y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%11/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%23/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%14/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%22/05
Projected finish14th of 18
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
17
OR 10410/1
Drop A Threat silks

Gigginstown House Stud

Drop A Threat

★★

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Triple Threat - Lola Drop (Kendargent)

Danny Mullins60%0/6W P Mullins80%
740P56
2.0
Tongue strap

Point winner but maiden under Rules and has become disappointing on the whole.

Class Advantage

15/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par15/0219/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par20/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 83%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%15/02Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 73%20/04Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 69%30/06Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 74%28/07
Projected finish15th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
11
OR 11025/1
Kings Jet silks

Nice But Syndicate

Kings Jet

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Jet Away - Court Gamble (King's Theatre)

Mr T A Halford1/1−7lbC W J Farrell
2162PU
5.0

Surprise winner on Rules debut in maiden hunter at Down Royal in May but has failed to complete on 3 of his 4 starts since. Hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0521/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/11projClass-projected finish: 12th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 60%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%5/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%21/11
Projected finish16th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
18
OR 10633/1
Prince Palace silks

Thethreeofus Syndicate

Prince Palace

8yo Gelding · 11-8

Turgeon - Aspetta E Spera (Linda's Lad)

Ross Sugrue−7lbP J Rothwell60%
9PP905
2.0
Blinkers

Has gone the wrong way since novice days and hasn't fared any better since joining current connections. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/0526/10 · C12 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par16/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par2/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par8/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par24/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 17%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 41%2/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%16/11Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%8/06Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%24/07
Projected finish17th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
12
15
OR 10333/1
Noble Talent silks

T J Nagle Jr

Noble Talent

9yo Gelding · 11-5

Getaway - Noble Motive (Oscar)

J J Slevin60%0/3T J Nagle-Jr60%
P0P7PP
3.0
Blinkers

One-time fairly useful sort over fences but badly out of sorts of late, including over hurdles. Handicapper has given him some help but he's hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/109/11 · C11 · finish vs mark above9/11 · mark par31/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par15/02 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par31/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par19/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par19/03projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 2m 6f 111y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%13/10Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%31/12Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 16 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%31/12Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%19/03
Projected finish18th of 18
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend