American Popstar
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 58
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 1/3 | 98% | 67% | -0.32 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |