1
Great Actress
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 74
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 07/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |