8
Halfin
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 71
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 07/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 10/01/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 18% | -0.61 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |