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2

Oxar

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 84

Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 06/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 87 par6/09C6OR 87C6 @ Gulfstream 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 92 parC6 @ Gulfstream 01/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 93 par1/11C6OR 93C6 @ Gulfstream 27/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 94 parC8 @ Gulfstream 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 85 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 85 par23/01C8OR 85C8 @ Gulfstream 22/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Gulfstream 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 88 par20/03C8OR 88C8 @ Gulfstream 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 85 par11/07C7OR 85projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Gulfstream?6th5th+1
2026-04-17Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-03-20Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-02-22Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-01-23Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2025-12-27Gulfstream?9th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0927/1220/0311/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20255th40/10%50%+0.50
04/10/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
01/11/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
27/12/20259th40/10%0%0.00
23/01/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
22/02/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
20/03/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
17/04/20265th13/266%20%-0.46
11/07/20266th12/137%38%+0.01