Vanish
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |