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Culture

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 60

Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength82%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS14/06C6C6 @ Gulfstream 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 50 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 50 par12/07C6OR 50projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Gulfstream?5th2nd+3
2026-06-14Gulfstream?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
12/07/20265th20/10%33%+0.33