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3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 78

Gulfstream · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 12113/06C9C9 @ Gulfstream 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 63 par28/06C9OR 63C5 @ Gulfstream 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 73 par18/07C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Gulfstream?2nd0th+2
2026-06-28Gulfstream?1st3rd−2
2026-06-13Gulfstream?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0628/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
28/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
18/07/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83