6
Camigol
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 63
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 18/10/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |