Adios Now
5yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 97
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |