7
Mythical Man
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 100
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |