Neshume
4yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 86
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |