To The Eastside
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |