2
Bold N Breezy
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 66
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 17/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |