7
Corta Fuego
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |