3
Giftedbydesign
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 84
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |