Las Olas
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |