8
Space Launch
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 95
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 10% | -0.74 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |