1
Will Of A Warrior
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 71
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |