5
Denver's Alley
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 18/05/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |