6
Gotta Be Madison
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 92
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |