3

Hidden Agenda
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-12-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/06/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |