8
Royally Blue
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |