Guns Loaded
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-02-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 16/11/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/01/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 01/02/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |