3
Pure Class
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 96
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 24/12/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |