4
Raging Fury
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 93
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |