1
Wistucky
5yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 92
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |