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3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 95
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |