8
Ciborio
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 80
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-08-28 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 07/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |