2
Senor Roberto
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |