6
Sir Guinness
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 93
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |