7
Amadea
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 64
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 07/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |