12
Eastern Sunrise
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 63
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-12-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 11/06/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |