Fifth Gear
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 55
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 30/07/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 29/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |