6
Lumenique
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 65
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |